MONDAY 7TH SEPTEMBER – FROM 19:00

🇳🇱 EERSTE DIVISIE – WEEK FIVE ⚽

JONG FC UTRECHT VS. FC EINDHOVEN

We came so close nailing all four bets on Friday night in the Eerste Divisie and Monday night sees two more games, but I want to focus on FC Eindhoven’s trips to Utrecht for our next selection. Let’s get it.

PREVIEW

FC EINDHOVEN head into their clash with Jong FC Utrecht looking to bounce back from last weekend’s 3-1 home defeat to Heracles Almelo. Despite showing resilience at the Jan Louwers Stadium, the Blue and Whites were undone in the second half by the unbeaten visitors. This was their third defeat in a row but Manager Jan Poortvliet will hope that his Deadline Day reinforcements can inject fresh energy into his squad.

Danish attacking midfielder Lasse Abildgaard joined on loan from Willem II for the remainder of the season, while Rayan Buifrahi, a 21‑year‑old Moroccan‑Belgian winger, arrived on a free from Club Brugge. Both players are expected to bring pace and creativity to Eindhoven’s attack, although their history suggest they remain talents with something to prove.

Abildgaard began his career at Silkeborg in his homeland before being snapped up by Ajax at just 16. He made five appearances for Jong Ajax, scoring once, before moving to Willem II in January, where he featured four times as a substitute. Buifrahi, meanwhile, spent two seasons at MVV Maastricht before heading to Brugge, playing 59 matches and contributing just three goals and five assists. While neither player arrives with an exciting résumé, they will be eager to seize this new opportunity and establish themselves as key figures in Eindhoven’s push for consistency this season.

Eindhoven began the season positively with a late 1–0 win at Jong AZ, courtesy of Owen Renfrum’s header, but have since struggled to maintain consistency losing their next three. However, a 3-2 loss to MVV (2nd place currently), a 5-2 defeat away to Den Bosch (15th) and last weeks’ 3-1 home loss to table toppers Heracles, shows a side who have scored three goals against the top two teams in the division. Their opponents tonight, are neither of those sides.

With new signings in place and a point to prove, FC Eindhoven will aim to rediscover their winning form against JONG FC UTRECHT and I think they can. Utrecht’s young side come into the game in dreadful form, losing all five of their opening matches and sit bottom of the Keuken Kampioen Divisie. Although their schedule included MVV and Heracles too.

Their campaign began with a narrow 2–1 defeat away to MVV Maastricht, followed by a 3–1 home loss to Vitesse. Then a heavy 6–1 defeat against Heracles in Utrecht marked their lowest point so far. A 2–1 loss at TOP Oss came next, and last week Jong AZ edged them out with another tight 2–1 score line.

SELECTION

I think the hosts will win here as they do have the superior side and they have been finding the net, however, I’m unsure they can keep a clean sheet. In all five games for Jong Utrecht, both teams have found the net with at least three goals so if I feel Eindhoven can grab the win, I think there’s a chance we see goals at both ends. Eindhoven’s only win was in their opening game, the 1-0 win against Jong AZ, after that the goals have flew in, scoring five and conceding 11.

It’s early days in this league still but goals have been consistent throughout the league, throughout the country in fact.

⚽️ FC Eindhoven win/Over 2.5 Goals 💷 1pt Best Odds: 3.50 at Bet365

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SUNDAY 6TH SEPTEMBER 2026 – FROM 11:15AM BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVSIE – WEEK FIVE ⚽

FC GRONINGEN VS. FC TWENTE

SC HEERENVEEN VS. AZ ALKMAAR

Sunday brings a heavy dose of the Eredivisie’s underbelly, with four fixtures on the schedule. For today’s Dutch Double, Will Burns zeroes in on two of games, clashes featuring four sides eager to break into the space usually dominated by the Big Three, including one club with genuine championship ambitions.

FC Groningen host FC Twente in an intriguing Eredivisie showdown where both teams have something to prove. Groningen play exciting football but leak goals, while Twente are known for their possession and organisation. Even at this early stage, both coaches will be under pressure.

Groningen generate plenty of danger, they are averaging 14 big chances per match, but also fail to convert 11 of those. Their tendency to surrender early leads makes Twente to lead at half‑time is appealing. Dick Lukkien’s side are vulnerable in transition, a recurring problem that continues to cost them against organised opponents. That fragility was exposed in back‑to‑back defeats: a 3–2 loss at home to Fortuna Sittard last weekend and a heavy 5–1 beating away at PSV in the Philips Stadion the week previous. Those results abruptly halted what had been a perfect start to the campaign, with two wins from two — a 2–1 victory over Utrecht at the Euroborg and a convincing 4–1 win away at ADO.

Twente’s defensive structure is far more stable. They have allowed only 14 shots inside their own box across three matches, a sign of strong organisation and disciplined positioning. Their dominance in possession and frequent use of the flanks also means they win a lot of corners. They often they force opponents back and create repeated wide overloads, this could open Groningen up time and time again. Lukkien beware!!

However, in what seems to be a regular occurrence in the league, both sides have shown quality up top, and weaknesses at the back. Both Teams to Score in all four Groningen’s league games so far, for Twente, they played three league games without a clean sheet: 1-0 loss to Heerenveen, 3-1 win at home to PEC Zwolle and 4-1 win away to Cambuur. The season was interrupted by a European qualifying where a total of 9 goals were conceded in six games but they scored 11 times. BTTS should land here but I give the advantage to John van den Brom’s Twente when it comes to the final result.

Twente look like they’re beginning to find rhythm just as Groningen appear to be moving in the opposite direction. Fortuna Sittard, this season’s surprise package, exposed Groningen’s transition issues by hitting Lukkien’s side three times on the counter last weekend. Twente have the tools to do exactly the same. With pace on both wings and in midfield, and Wout Weghorst acting as a powerful focal point who can hold the ball and bring others into play, the likes of Younes Taha, Marko Pjaca and Sondre Ørjasaeter are well‑placed to exploit the spaces Groningen leave behind. It wouldn’t surprised me if any of those four ended up on the scoresheet.

The table-topping AZ Alkmaar head to the Abe Lenstra Stadium with a perfect four wins out of four with thirteen goals scored and only three conceded. Leeroy Echteld has shaped AZ into genuine title contenders since becoming permanent head coach in April, he led them to their KNVB Beker triumph over NEC Nijmegen and the emphatic 4–0 victory over ten‑man PSV in the Johan Cruyff Schaal. SC Heerenveen approach the match from a very different position. Robin Veldman’s side have struggled for consistency after a mixed start, and three injuries in defence make selection even more complicated. Facing this high‑flying AZ team is a serious early‑season examination.

Heerenveen opened the campaign impressively with a 1–0 win away at FC Twente but since then, they have slipped into a run of draws, interrupted by a 2-0 defeat at home to PEC Zwolle. Two 2–2 draws, against Ajax and Willem II, will give them confidence against AZ, but they too often fail to finish matches strongly. In attack, there are bright spots. Right-winger Jacob Trenskow has two goals and an assist in the four league matches, while on the left, Maxence Rivera provides threat with an average of 2.5 shots on target per match.

Defensively, there are concerns as they have conceded six goals in four matches, including two goals in each of the two away draws. With two regular defenders missing, the back line is particularly vulnerable, and AZ possess exactly the kind of attacking power that can exploit that. Mees Hilgers is sidelined with a knee‑ligament injury, while first choice right-back, Mats Egbring has an ankle issue, so Oliver Braude steps in at right‑back to complete a patched‑up back line.

For AZ, Echteld’s compact, attack‑minded system has delivered four straight with Mexx Meerdink finally proving he is threat up front. Their defensive structure has been just as impressive, but the only minor concern is the injury to right‑back Denso Kasius.

So with the visitors’ prolific attack and a solid defence, and combine that with Heerenveen’s injuries at the back, I see this being an away win. It will be difficult for the hosts to to match the AZ’s tempo, though Trenskow or Rivera could still produce a moment at home. Ultimately, I see AZ being victorious and claiming their fifth win, but I wouldn’t put you off backing Both Teams to Score in this one.

Heerenveen have conceded at least two goals in each of their last three matches, and in the 2–2 draw with Ajax they were already two goals down by half‑time. AZ, meanwhile, have shown a habit of striking early: they’ve scored in the first half in two of their four league games, and they also led at the break in their Johan Cruyff Schaal win over PSV. I see AZ exploding out of the blocks here and adding an AZ goal in the first half will bump up the Bet Builder below.

⚽️ DUTCH DOUBLE Groningen vs. Twente: Both Teams to Score Heerenveen vs. AZ: Both Teams to Score 💷 1pts Best Odds: 2.10 at Unibet   ⚽️ BET 2: FC Twente win/Both Teams to Score 💷 1pts Best Odds: 3.50 at Sky Bet   ⚽️ BET 3: BET BUILDER AZ win Over 2.5 Match Goals AZ to score in the first half 💷 1pts Best Odds: 2.74 at BetMGM

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SATURDAY 5TH SEPTEMBER 2026 – FROM 19:00 BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVISIE – WEEK FIVE⚽

AJAX vs. PSV

One of the biggest games of the season is here already in Week Five of the Eredivisie when reigning champions PSV Eindhoven visit Amsterdam to face Ajax. PSV arrive in slightly stronger form and the question is whether the Ajax can maintain their edge but again, one thing is for sure, there will be goals writes Will Burns.

AJAX

Both sides remain unbeaten in the league so far, and both sides form has not been entirely perfect. For Michel’s Ajax, their only home match so far ended in a 2–2 draw with Heerenveen. They have picked up two wins away from home: 2–0 at PEC Zwolle and 4–0 at Telstar. Against Telstar, Ajax has a restricted first half before Steven Berghuis broke the game open. Davy Klaassen headed in the opener from a Berghuis corner, and Ajax added three more goals in the second half through Berghuis, Tolu Arokodare and substitute Marcos Leonardo. Berghuis has become Ajax’s most decisive player this season, with one goal, two assists and his ability to both shoot and create from the right flank makes him the key link in Michel’s attacking setup.

Defensively, Ajax have impressed. Marc‑André ter Stegen, on loan from Barcelona, has kept two clean sheets in the three league matches and has saved 86.7% of shots on target and he will be busy against PSV this evening. Only against Heerenveen did things go wrong, with the defence caught twice on the counter.

The Conference League workload also plays a role: Ajax played six European matches in August, including two‑legged ties against Vojvodina, Shelbourne and Sion. Could that schedule could take its toll in the second half of this match? Maybe.

Michel will be without Daley Blind, Rayane Bounida and Viktor Tsygankov, who is not yet eligible despite his recent move from Girona. While loan signing from Sunderland, Simon Adingra is also doubtful. Ajax are expected to stick with the 4‑3‑3 system that worked so well against Telstar. The back four is likely to be Anton Gaaei, Aaron Bouwman, Youri Baas and Caio Henrique. Baas may be preferred over Dies Janse at centre‑back due to his experience in big matches. New signings, Sofyan Amrabat (DM) and Thilo Kehrer (CB) are available, but may lack the tactical awareness or match fitness to start such a high‑intensity fixture this early into their Ajax career.

So the midfield is expected to remain unchanged, with Davy Klaassen, Jorthy Mokio and Julian Brandt forming the trio. Mokio’s ability to receive under pressure will be tested heavily by PSV’s aggressive press, while Klaassen’s late runs into the box could be crucial against a PSV midfield that often pushes forward and leaves space behind.

In attack, Steven Berghuis is the obvious focal point after his standout performance against Telstar and Tolu Arokodare provides a strong central presence, with Oscar Gloukh adding technical quality behind him. Ajax have scored 17 goals in their last five matches and conceded only two in the league, but Telstar still created a dangerous transition chance when Mokio lost possession. Against PSV’s far more ruthless attack, similar errors are unlikely to go unpunished.

PSV

Despite a shaky start to the season, a 2-2 home draw against Fortuna Sittard, PSV have recovered to be the Eredivisie’s most productive attacking side. Their 15 goals in four matches give them an average of 3.75 per game, boosted heavily by the results against FC Groningen (5–1) and FC Utrecht (6-1). Against Utrecht, PSV showed how lethal they can be when given space. After Artem Stepanov put the hosts ahead, Ruben van Bommel equalised within five minutes. Guus Til turned the match around before half-time. In the final quarter, Mauro Junior, Sven Mijnans, Til again and Sergiño Dest made it six.

Five different PSV players have scored twice in the league so far: Guus Til, Ricardo Pepi, Ivan Perišić, Ruben Van Bommel and Sergiño Dest. That spread makes PSV unpredictable and difficult to defend, with danger coming from almost every position. But on the other hand, PSV have yet to keep a clean sheet this season. The five goals conceded in four matches point to a defensive vulnerability Ajax can exploit, especially with Steven Berghuis, Oskar Gloukh and Tolu Arokodare in form.

While Ajax have had to contend with qualifying for the Conference League throughout the summer, PSV do benefit from a fresh schedule. Their first European commitments is next Thursday, when Shakhtar Donetsk visit in the Champions League, Peter Bosz’s side have had optimal preparation time for this top clash.

However he does have quite the injury list. Jerdy Schouten, Alassane Pléa, Dennis Man and Kylian Sildillia are all out as is Sami Ouaissa, new singing from NEC earlier this week. Joey Veerman’s departure to Borussia Dortmund left a gap in midfield, but 18‑year‑old Noah Fernandez has filled the role impressively and forms a stable pairing with Kodai Sano. Bosz is expected to use the 4‑2‑3‑1 system that dismantled Utrecht, with Perišić, Til and Van Bommel behind U.S.A. international striker Pepi.

The starting line-up should see Matej Kovář should start in goal behind a defence of Sergiño Dest, Ryan Flamingo, Armando Obispo and Mauro Júnior. The midfield of Noah Fernandez, Kodai Sano and Guus Til gives PSV an excellent blend of control and penetration and ahead of them, Ivan Perišić, Ricardo Pepi and Ruben van Bommel have all scored twice this season.

The American right-back Dest has also been highly productive with two goals and two assists, while Amir Bouhamdi has created three big chances. PSV have scored 15 goals in their last five matches, but they have not kept a clean sheet in that run, a vulnerability Ajax will feel they can exploit.

HISTORY

Across recent seasons, Ajax and PSV have produced a remarkably balanced and often dramatic rivalry, reflected clearly in their last five Eredivisie meetings: two straight 2–2 draws in 2026 and 2025, a 2-0 Ajax win in Eindhoven in March 2025, a 3–2 Ajax victory in November 2024, and a 1–1 stalemate earlier that same year.

And the broader historical picture is just as tight. Over 140 league clashes, PSV hold a marginal edge with 56 wins to Ajax’s 54, while the goal tally is almost perfectly level at 233–232 in PSV’s favour. Despite that long-term balance, and PSV’s dominance with the league title in recent years, Ajax come into this encounter unbeaten in the last five Eredivisie meetings between the sides. PSV’s last league win over their rivals, well you have go back to October 2023, a 5–2 triumph at the Philips Stadion.

REASONING

Ajax and PSV meet here both in great form in front of goal, creating chances with ease and scoring freely. The Amsterdammers host here and do come into the fixture unbeaten in their last five Eredivisie meetings with PSV, yet their defensive stability is still not fully convincing. PSV, meanwhile, have produced eleven goals in their last two league matches and possess the pace and individual quality to punish any gaps Ajax leave. But, and it’s a big but, their own defensive record offers little reason to expect a comfortable night in Amsterdam.

Looking at the history earlier, this match always proves to be an open contest and I feel this will be no different, with the last two encounters finished 2–2, and once again a match with chances at both ends feels inevitable. If you fancy the 2-2, it is best priced at 10.5 with Unibet. On paper, calling a winner is difficult, and a high‑scoring draw remains a realistic scenario and the draw comes in at 4.00 with Paddy Power and Spread Ex.

However, I am going to play this one a bit more careful and if we get four goals in this match, you have to think both team will find the net. That is priced at 1.80 with Bet365 and as you know… when don’t do short prices here!

So into the player markets we go…

Danish right-back Anton Gaaei may find himself in trouble today. He made five fouls against Telstar, three in the away leg against Sion and one away to Shelbourne in the Conference League qualifiers. He will be up against Ruben Van Bommel and Mauro Junior down the left. Van Bommel’s stats for fouls drawn are not attractive, but the Brazilians is. He was fouled three times in the 6-1 drubbing of Utrecht. He is 4.00 at Bet365 to collect a yellow or a red.

However, former Ajax youth Sergiño Dest has our key to profit this evening. The American international got two players booked against Utrecht and Ajax left-back Caio Henrique looks primed to being his next victim. Dest won a total of SEVEN fouls last weekend, one the week prior against Groningen and SIX against Excelsior in his first Eredivisie outing of the new season. Caio Henrique is usually composed and committing 1.08 fouls per 90 this season but this is a high-octane contest between two rivals, in front of 55,000 rabid fans. His best price to see a card off referee Sander van der Eijk is also 4.00 at Bet365.

Van der Eijk has dished out seven cards in the first two fixtures he has officiated domestically this season and this fixture has saw four or more cards hit three times in the last five. Have a look but I cannot find total cards markets anywhere across the bookies I have available and I would imagine Over 3.5 Cards would be priced too short.

Keep an eye on this article. I may add more selections as the day goes on.

If you joining me with this selections, good luck.

⚽️ BET 1: Draw 💷 1pts Best Odds: 4.00 at Boyle Sports   ⚽️ BET 2: Caio Henrique to be booked 💷 1pts Best Odds: 4.00 at Bet365

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FRIDAY 4th SEPTEMBER 2026 – 19:00 BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVISIE – WEEK FIVE ⚽

SPARTA ROTTERDAM VS. PEC ZWOLLE

Week Five of the Eredivisie begins with Sparta vs. PEC Zwolle. Hardly the most mouth-watering of contests on paper, however, a game that promises goals… I promise. I’ve pulled together a Bet Builder for our first official bet of the season. Follow our Profit and Loss here.

SPARTA ROTTERDAM

Sparta Rotterdam’s start to the season has been inconsistent as the campaign opened with a narrow 1-0 Rotterdam derby defeat to Feyenoord, followed by getting a win under their belt with a strong 3–1 away win at SC Telstar. A 3–3 home draw followed with FC Utrecht, which showcased Sparta’s attacking intent while revealing defensive issues, then the momentum slipped again when Excelsior claimed a 2–1 win in the second Rotterdam derby. With four points from four matches, Sparta sit mid‑table in twelfth place.

Sparts, now failing to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches. Offensively, the team tends to find its rhythm after half-time if that floats your boat, scoring more frequently in the second half than in the first. Over the course of 38 league games last term, Sparta netted 47 goals, an average of 1.24 per match, with 24 of those coming at home and 23 away. The side registered 115 shots on target, averaging just over three per game.

Behind the scenes, change has been significant. Rogier Meijer, appointed this summer to replace Maurice Steijn, is making his official debut season at Het Kasteel. Known from his NEC tenure for building disciplined, well‑structured teams, Meijer has already brought more organisation to Sparta’s play. But his must tackle of execution rather than creation. Sparta do generate plenty of chances but lacks the finishing edge to turn control into consistent results, a gap Meijer will be eager to close as the season progresses.

The markets for the Eredivisie are very limited compared to the major leagues, but here’s some information if you need it. Marvin Young and Milan Zonneveld lead the scoring charts with two goals apiece, with Zonneveld finding the net in last two consecutive matches. Nick Verschuren and Young have each scored once with a header, while Robin van Cruijsen and Nökkvi Thórisson both struck with their left foot. Zonneveld’s brace came via his right. Meanwhile, Bas Kuipers has contributed two assists, which is priced best at 6.50 at Ladbrokes and Coral if they are available to you.

PEC ZWOLLE

Like, PEC Zwolle have not been convincing and endured a difficult start to the season. Henry van der Vegt’s side opened with a 2-0 defeat to Ajax and followed it up with another two goal loss away at FC Twente, this time by 3–1. Their only bright moment came in Heerenveen, where they claimed a 0–2 victory. But any momentum quickly faded: in the fourth round they suffered a 1–3 home defeat to NEC. With just three points from four matches, PEC currently sit fifteenth in the table.

The numbers paint a clear picture. Zwolle have conceded at least two goals in every league match so far, and I cannot see this changing here. However, at the same time, they’ve managed to score in three of those four games, showing there is attacking potential, even away from home. Van der Vegt will need to restore balance quickly, before the gap to the rest of the league begins to widen and no one wants to see PEC Zwolle in relegation trouble. Well, no one apart from Go Ahead Eagles’ fans.

Zwolle found the net 48 times across 38 league matches last season, averaging 1.26 goals per game, with 22 of those coming at home and 26 away. The team produced 86 shots on target in total, an average of 2.26 per match, which illustrates that they could create chances but often struggled to generate sustained the attacking pressure at times.

It’s early days, but Koen Kostons is Zwolle’s leading scorer with two goals, having found the net in at least two consecutive matches. He and Nick Viergever have each scored once with their left foot, while Kostons and Elias Sørensen (remember him Newcastle United fans?) have both produced a right‑footed goal. Dylan Mbayo has added creativity to the attack with two assists, rounding out the key contributions for the Blauwvingers so far.

REASONING

PEC Zwolle do rely heavily on their quite prolific number 10, Koen Kostons. Last season, he scored 11 in 34 games and yes, already has two goals in four outings this term. He has had at least one shot on target in the last three games and two against sc Heerenveen, the match before last. He will be on penalty kicks, despite missing one against NEC last weekend, as he scored one in the first half and he also had a goal disallowed via VAR just before the hour mark. Sparta had conceded a total of 16 shots on target in the first four games, so I’m confident that Mr. Kostons can grab us one here.

I’ve already spoke about how both sides can score and concede and I expect both goalkeepers to pick the ball out of their net this evening and I’m siding with the home side to get the win. Sparta return home to Het Kasteel, and at home they have already shown they can score freely, the aforementioned 3–3 draw with FC Utrecht is proof of that. Combined with the fact that PEC’s defence has been breached at least twice in every league game so far, I think Sparta outscores Zwolle here.

Like I mentioned above, Van der Vegt’s Zwolle boys have scored in three of their last four matches, including away at sc Heerenveen, showing they can threaten on the road. Even so, some caution is warranted. PEC enter this match on the back of three straight defeats and confidence is low, and a leaky defence does not automatically guarantee that the attack will deliver so we risk just a point here on a well priced Bet Builder.

If you joining me with this selections, good luck.

⚽️ BET BUILDER Koen Kostons 1+Shots On Target Sparta Rotterdam win Both Teams To Score 💷 1pts Best Odds: 4.33 at Bet365

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FRIDAY 4th SEPTEMBER 2026 – 19:00 BST

🇳🇱 EERSTE DIVISIE – WEEK FIVE ⚽

My second favourite league in world football fires up mostly on Friday and Monday nights — the Kitchen Champion Division (Keuken Kampioen Divisie) and yes, it’s sponsored by a kitchen company. This league is so profitable, the strikers always turn up the heat in the box and cook up goals. I’ll stop… maybe.

Anyway, every Friday on TotalDutchFootball.com I’ll be baking a fresh batch of bets from this league. Goals are usually overflowing from the pan. Defences get burnt far too easily, while the midfielders and forwards stay sharp as knives. For forks sake, let’s get into it.

Follow our Profit and Loss here.

GOALSCORER TREBLE

Something I have found profitable over the years is lumping three of the most in-form strikers into a treble as long as the price is right.

Ferdy Druijf of Almere City knows this league very well and has started the season on fire. He has scored five goals in the first four games and tonight against Jong Ajax, who have conceded 14 in four games, he looks in good stead to add to his tally. I wouldn’t be surprised if either Emre Unuvar or Diego Pugno for Ajax get on the scoresheet also, they have scored five and four goals themselves in four games respectively.

Heracles, my favourite to win the division this season, has saw Jean Paul N’Djoli and Tristan Van Glist score the majority of their 16 goals. Van Glist is the designated penalty taker and a bigger price and that is the only reason why I have stuck him in here between the pair. N’Djoli has scored six in four games but failed to get on the scoresheet last week in the 3-1 away win against FC Eindhoven – Van Glist did. He has scored in all four games and have five goals in his account.

Last but no means least, Moroccan striker Naoufal Bannis looks too good to be at Vitesse Arnhem this season. He has also scored five and one assist across the four games, failing to score in just one, so he grabbed two braces against Jong Utrecht and last week versus FC Den Bosch. Now entering his second season with the Arnhem side, he may just be hitting a purple patch after just nine goals in 31 outings last year but he looks the business this year indeed.

MORE GOALS, GOALS, GOALS

So I’ve gone for Over 2.5 Goals and Over 3.5 Goals in each of the games this evening in two accas. Reason being this lands, quite often, more often than the odds suggest.

Tonight’s fixtures only covers a total of six games. Last week we had seven and ALL seven games hit three goals or more and only two fixtures missing out on the four goals or more. There was six games on Week 2 and only one game ended with two goals, all the others were over.

For Over 2.5 we are getting 8.64 for all six games to hit the mark and for the Over 3.5 were are getting 68.13. I have stuck a point on the three goals or more acca and half a point on the four or more and lets see if we can hit a few of these in the coming months.

HERACLES VS. DE GRAAFSCHAP

Like I mentioned earlier, Heracles were my pick to win the KKD before a ball was kicked, and after their storming start you can still grab 3.75 at Bet365. You might want to slip into an accumulator if that’s your bag. But tonight, De Graafschap head to the Asito Stadion, where around 12,000 fans should be treated to yet another goal fest.

Heracles’ season so far reads like a highlight reel. A 4–3 thriller away at VVV on opening night, a 3–2 home win over Den Bosch, six goals fired past Jong FC Utrecht in week three (6-1), and a tidy 3–1 victory away at FC Eindhoven last weekend. De Graafschap, meanwhile, have been leaking goals all over the shop, making this a scary game for them.

Their campaign opened with a 1–1 draw against Helmond Sport, followed by a 5–2 home defeat to Jong AZ (who didn’t use any Eredivisie regulars). Then came a 2–1 loss to VVV and, last week, heavy 4–1 beating at home by Almere City.

Heracles -1 sits at 2.10 with Bet365 and I’m putting a point on it. If you fancy pushing the boat out on the -2, I wouldn’t advise you against it. De Graafschap have already been hammered twice this season.If you joining me with this selections, good luck.

⚽️ GOALSCORER TREBLE Ferdy Druijf (Almere City) Tristan Van Glist (Heracles) Naoufal Bannis (Vitesse) 💷 1pt Best Odds: 8.06 at BetMGM (Boosted)   ⚽️ OVER 2.5 GOALS ACCA 💷 1pt Best Odds: 8.64 at Bet365   ⚽️ OVER 3.5 GOALS ACCA 💷 0.5pt Best Odds: 68.13 at Bet365 ⚽️ Heracles -1 vs. De Graafschap 💷 1pt Best Odds: 2.10 at Bet365

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SUNDAY 30TH AUGUST 2026 – FROM 11:15AM BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVSIE – WEEK FOUR ⚽

FC UTRECHT VS. PSV

FEYENOORD VS. ADO DEN HAAG

SC TELSTAR VS. AJAX

NOTE: After September 2nd, expect a significant increase in betting content. By then, the transfer window will be settled and I will have a semi-strong data set to take a more serious, analytical approach in our betting tips. A free Telegram channel will launched for early access to all bets and in‑play betting, full match previews, and additional bets, alongside expanded coverage will be here on the website and free on Substack. If you enjoy betting for fun on the Eredivisie, Eerste Divisie, the KNVB Beker, or European competitions, make sure to check back from September 3rd — that’s when the content really ramps up. Thanks for the support as always and keeping TotalDutchFootball.com alive. Will

Five big games on Sunday in the Dutch top flight but focusing on the big three: PSV, Feyenoord and Ajax, Will Burns thinks all three favourites will win, but not without their troubles in defence.

FC UTRECHT VS. PSV

FC Utrecht have taken just one point from three matches and already shipped nine goals and they’re far from where they want to be and now they play PSV. Insert gritted teeth emoji. The champions have started slowly themselves, but exploded last weekend with a 5–1 win over FC Groningen.

For Utrecht, there were positives against Sparta last week. Utrecht led three times and looked set for a 3-2 win before conceding in the 96th minute but that was a huge contrast to the 4-1 smashing at home to AZ, where they allowed 24 shots and collapsed straight after the half‑time break.

Going forward, Utrecht aren’t struggling. They’ve scored in all three league games, with Artem Stepanov on target against AZ and Sparta, and he scored inside three minutes against PSV last April. He knows how to trouble this defence. While PSV, showed there is life after Joey Veerman last week defeating Groningen by 5-1. Despite another summer of changes, Peter Bosz’s side were ruthless. Ivan Perišić struck twice, Ricardo Pepi scored again, and Ruben van Bommel impressed. Pepi is starting to look sharp: three starts, two goals, and plenty of confidence.

Defensively, PSV aren’t perfect. Fortuna, Excelsior, and Groningen all scored against them, while Utrecht have scored in every match. A quiet afternoon for PSV’s back line seems unlikely. Recent meetings between Utrecht and PSV also point to goals. PSV won 1–2 in Utrecht last season, but Utrecht led at the break. The April clash finished 4–3, and the five previous league meetings all saw both teams score. PSV should win and handsomely, but the combination of Utrecht’s attack and PSV’s defensive issues should see goals at both ends.

FEYENOORD VS. ADO DEN HAAG

The second match sees Feyenoord, seven points after three matches, face ADO Den Haag, who are still on zero, and the gap in quality is clear heading into this game at De Kuip. Still, both teams have shown a pattern, Feyenoord dominate early but lose control after half‑time, while ADO often respond better in the second half. That contrast gives this match an interesting angle.

Giovanni van Bronckhorst’s side look sharp going forward and they blasted SC Cambuur 5-2 last weekend, with Luciano Valente, Ayase Ueda and Gjival Zechiël all scoring. So focusing on the first halves in their season so far, they have proven to be excellent: 1–0 up at Sparta, 2–0 up against Go Ahead, and 4-0 ahead away in Cambuur, so Feyenoord consistently put opponents under pressure early. But in a strange pattern, after the half-time break, things get messy. Sparta pushed late though it finished 1-0, Go Ahead came back to 2–2, and Cambuur scored twice in the second half. Feyenoord start well but don’t always finish well.

It’s been a tough start for ADO’s return to the league with three defeats to AZ, FC Groningen and Go Ahead Eagles. The 4-1 loss to Groningen showed how costly mistakes are at this level and still, they don’t just sit back. ADO held out for long spells against AZ, scored through Yannick Eduardo after the break against Groningen, and stayed competitive for much of the first half against Go Ahead before Evan Rottier made it 2–1.

They concede plenty, but they keep playing and keep looking for chances. That approach carries risk at De Kuip, but it also gives them a better chance of creating something than sitting deep for 90 minutes. Again, Feyenoord should have far too much for ADO, but conceding four goals in the last two games against Go Ahead and Cambuur should give confidence to Den Haag, and ourselves that will see a goal in both ends.

SC TELSTAR VS. AJAX

Finally, Ajax travel to SC Telstar and again we go with the favourites to win with Both Teams to Score. Why? Well the Amsterdammers head to Telstar with very different preparation levels. Telstar had a break last weekend, while Ajax were still in European action on Thursday. The Amsterdammers have more quality, but last season’s trip to Velsen‑Zuid showed it can be tricky.

Henk Brugge’s side started well with three points from two matches, including a surprise 2-1 away win at NEC thanks to early goals from Patrick Brouwer and Rui Mendes in the opening game of the season. Telstar’s first home match was tougher. They saw more of the ball against Sparta, but the visitors created the better chances and ended up winning 3-1.

Telstar seem to thrive when they can counter, but struggle when they must take the initiative. Against Ajax, they’ll likely sit deeper again and use the pace of Patrick Brouwer, Rui Mendes and Soufiane Hetli on the break. Ajax come into this one with four points from two league games, but they have been inconsistent. They needed late goals to beat PEC Zwolle and let a 2–0 lead slip to 2–2 against SC Heerenveen. In Europe, however, they have been far more productive, scoring freely (22 goals in six games) against Vojvodina, Shelbourne and FC Sion but conceded 10 times. Goals aren’t the issue, maintaining stability for 90 minutes is and that vulnerability gives Telstar some confidence.

Telstar will need to be aware of Tolu Arokodare, a loan signing from Wolves. The Nigerian striker notched three goals in the two legs against Sion and is set to start against Telstar with five shots on target.

⚽️ BET 1: PSV win and Both Teams to Score 💷 1.5pt Best Odds: 2.50 at Bet365 ⚽️ BET 2: Feyenoord win and Both Teams to Score 💷 1.5pt Best Odds: 2.30 at Bet365 ⚽️ BET 3: Ajax win and Both Teams to Score 💷 1.5pt Best Odds: 2.60 at Bet365 ⚽️ BET 4: TREBLE PSV win and Both Teams to Score Feyenoord win and Both Teams to Score Ajax win and Both Teams to Score 💷 1pts Best Odds: 14.95 at Bet365

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SATURDAY 29TH AUGUST 2026 – FROM 17:45 BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVISIE – WEEK FOUR⚽

AZ ALKMAAR VS. GO AHEAD EAGLES PEC ZWOLLE VS. NEC NIJMEGEN

Saturday in the Eredivisie serves up two fixtures with real potential to secure some profits as AZ Alkmaar welcoming Go Ahead Eagles, and NEC Nijmegen travel north to face PEC Zwolle. Will Burns expects goals in the first matchup, but a far more subdued contest for the second.

AZ VS. GO AHEAD

AZ Alkmaar welcome Go Ahead Eagles early Saturday evening (17:45 BST) in a meeting between two in‑form sides, but the hosts arrive with a level of momentum that is difficult to ignore. Alkmaar have been flawless across their last five matches, producing dominant score lines that suggests they are operating above the league’s early‑season pack. Go Ahead Eagles remain unbeaten and confident, yet this is their first real test against a side firing at top‑tier intensity.

The head‑to‑head record leans heavily toward AZ, who are unbeaten in their last six encounters with Go Ahead, winning two and drawing four. That run underlines a psychological advantage, but the real separation comes from current form. AZ have scored 12 goals in their last five matches and conceded only three, generating a huge 84 shots in that span. Their 4‑2‑3‑1 system is producing chances from multiple sources with Mexx Meerdink, Ro-Zangelo Daal and Jizz Hornkamp all contributing. While Peer Koopmeiners continues to drive the midfield with consistency and end product.

The Eagles of Deventer deserve credit for their recent run, winning four of their last five and scoring nine goals. Søren Tengstedt has been electric, notching in all three Eredivisie games so far, and their 4‑2‑3‑1 shape gives them stability in transition. But their chance creation volume, 45 shots across five matches, is far below the aforementioned AZ’s output, and facing a back line featuring Wouter Goes, Elijah Dijkstra and Mateo Chávez, plus goalkeeper Jari De Busser in strong form, represents a significant step up from the opposition they have faced so far.

PEC VS. NEC

NEC enter the match as obvious favourites and they hold a strong historical record against PEC Zwolle. Across 19 meetings, NEC hold the edge with seven victories to PEC’s six, alongside six draws. Their most recent meeting (a 2–1 NEC victory in January) highlights the recent edge the Nijmegen side have held in this fixture at MAC³PARK Stadion. Both teams have started the season with one win apiece, but NEC’s five goals scored and Kaj Sierhuis’s early form give them a slight statistical edge over a PEC side still finding rhythm.

PEC arrive with renewed momentum after a 2–0 win over Heerenveen, a result that snapped a long losing run and finally gave them a platform to build on. That victory wasn’t a fluke: Dylan Mbayo with two assists and Koen Kostons notching the winner, were decisive, the defensive structure held firm, and Zwolle looked far more balanced than in previous weeks. At home, with confidence restored, they are far more competitive than their early‑season record suggests.

NEC, meanwhile, must shake off the disappointment of their Champions League qualifying exit, a bruising 6–1 aggregate defeat to Bodo/Glimt that halted their European ambitions, that was not helped by goalkeeper Gonzalo Crettaz being dismissed for a handball outside the box just three minutes into the second leg. Even so, their Eredivisie form remains competitive, and their experienced attacking options, including Dusan Tadic, Bryan Linssen and Tjaronn Chery, give Dick Schreuder’s side enough firepower to trouble PEC’s defence. But Schreuder has to navigate a squad without five key players due to injury, including Emre Mor, Phillipe Sandler, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Sami Ouaissa and Perr Schuurs.

Overall, PEC’s home crowd will hope last week’s win signals a turning point, but NEC’s stronger historical record, more reliable scoring output and deeper attacking quality suggest they are better placed to take something from this fixture. A draw remains a realistic outcome, yet NEC’s favourites tag is justified given the balance of form and head‑to‑head trends.

PREDICTIONS

With AZ’s attacking depth, relentless shot production, and a proven ability to overwhelm opponents at home, this matchup against Go Ahead Eagles sets up perfectly for goals. Go Ahead have enough threat to contribute, but AZ’s firepower and form make them strong favourites to take the points. The combination of an AZ Alkmaar win and at least four goals in the match aligns with both statistical trends and the stylistic matchup, a high‑tempo octane encounter, where the Eagles should trouble AZ, but they should ultimately come away with a victory. AZ win, BTTS with Over 3.5 Goals is 3.20 at BetMGM.

In the second game, the head‑to‑head history may favour NEC, but current conditions tilt the balance. PEC are fresher, at home, and finally showing signs of improvement. NEC are fatigued, short-handed, and coming off a damaging European week. Given all this, PEC Zwolle or Draw offers protection against NEC’s quality while capitalising on Zwolle’s upswing and NEC’s vulnerability. It’s the most sensible, value‑driven angle in this fixture at 2.25 with Sky Bet.

If you joining me with these selections, good luck.

⚽️ BET 1: AZ win/Over 3.5 Goals/Both Teams to Score 💷 1pt Best Odds: 3.20 at BetMGM ⚽️ BET 2: PEC Zwolle or Draw 💷 1pt Best Odds: 2.25 at SkyBet

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FRIDAY 28TH AUGUST 2026 – 19:00 BST

🇳🇱 EREDIVISIE – WEEK FOUR ⚽

FC GRONINGEN VS. FORTUNA SITTARD

NOTE: After September 2nd, expect a significant increase in betting content. By then, the transfer window will be settled and I will have a semi-strong data set to take a more serious, analytical approach in our betting tips. A free Telegram channel will launched for early access to all bets and in‑play betting, full match previews, and additional bets, alongside expanded coverage will be here on the website and free on Substack. If you enjoy betting for fun on the Eredivisie, Eerste Divisie, the KNVB Beker, or European competitions, make sure to check back from September 3rd — that’s when the content really ramps up. Thanks for the support as always and keeping TotalDutchFootball.com alive. Will

FC Groningen welcomes Fortuna Sittard to Euroborg on Friday evening for a matchup that could shape the early tone of their Eredivisie campaigns, with both sides eager to climb the table. Will Burns thinks an in-form Icelandic could come good again.

FC GRONINGEN

FC Groningen sit fifth with six points from their first three matches, a start built on two wins but tempered by inconsistency at the back. They have scored and conceded seven goals, reflecting a side still searching for stability. Their momentum stalled last weekend with a heavy 5-1 defeat away to PSV, a result that exposed vulnerabilities after an otherwise promising opening.

Under manager Dick Lukkien, Groningen typically rely on a disciplined defensive setup and quick counter-attacks, a formula that served them well in their early victories. Last weekend’s setback at the Philips Stadion has raised concerns about their resilience at the back but it was against PSV after all. As they return to Euroborg, the focus will be on getting back on track, tightening their structure, and using home advantage to rebound against Fortuna Sittard.

Brynjolfur Willumsson and Thom Van Bergen have been on fire so far this season. The Iceland international Willumsson has scored three goals in as many games, while Van Bergen has two goals and two assists and both will be integral against Sittard here.

FORTUNA SITTARD

Danny Buijs’s side enter the weekend in eighth place with four points from their opening three matches, built on a win, a draw and a defeat. They have scored and conceded five goals, and the high of the 2-2 draw at PSV on the opening day, and the 3-1 win over SC Cambuur a week later, took a dive with a 2-0 defeat at home against AZ last week. However, this was in a game when they spent the majority of it with only ten men, so we can’t really read too much into that.

Fortuna favour a pragmatic, well‑organised approach, aiming to stay compact and strike when space opens up. Yet their away form remains a concern, with only a single point collected on the road so far. Mixed performances across the first three rounds underline the need for a clear step up, and the task of Friday’s night’s visit to the Euroborg was made more difficult after, like previously mentioned, Ole Romeny was dismissed after just five minutes for a “high” challenge on Mateo Chavez – it was harsh.

ANALYSIS

So, Groningen head into the match having won two of their last three outings, and every one of their fixtures so far has seen both teams score, producing a striking average of 4.67 goals per game. Fortuna Sittard arrive with three wins from their previous five matches, and they have also been involved in high‑scoring encounters, with an average of 3.33 goals per match. Both teams are in good form despite the pair of defeats last week against superior competition, and Fortuna were down to ten men.

PREDICTION

One guy to watch for the hosts is Icelandic striker Brynjolfur Willumsson. Always a handful, he is never been known to be prolific since arriving in the league two seasons ago. Just six goals (28 games) last season and four the season before (29 games), Willumsson has found a bit of form hitting three goals in three games, even getting the one in 5-1 against PSV last week. That includes opening the scoring last week, and in the opening game against Utrecht. He is a short price to score anytime, a very small data set to go off, but happy to risk a point on him here.

Both Teams to Score looks highly likely too with neither side able to keep a clean sheet this season so far and the best price of 1.62 at Bet365 suggests that. Over 2.5 Goals has hit in five of the pairs game, apart from Fortuna’s 2-0 defeat last week and I think combining the two for 1.91 at Boyle Sports would be the pick here.

BUT… we don’t do under evens here… ever!

So, let’s add the big Icelandic to have a shot on target here. He has hit 3, 2 and 2 in the first three games so despite very small data set, looks good.

⚽️ BET 1: Brynjolfur Willumsson to score 💷 1pt Best Odds: 2.25 at Bet365 ⚽️ BET 2 – BUILDER Both Teams to Score Over 2.5 Goals Brynjolfur Willumsson 1 or more Shot on Target 💷 1pts Best Odds: 2.20 at Bet365

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