Back after the international break, we enter the fifth week of games in the Eredivisie, Simon Prue is with his selections and like all his tips – good luck!
Saturday 12th September
FC TWENTE vs. AJAX (17:45 BST)
This is a fixture Ajax have generally enjoyed over the past seven seasons or so, as they have not lost to FC Twente since November 2009. Although the last two meetings at De Grolsch Veste have finished 1-1, these two Dutch sides have experienced polar opposite starts to the season.
Ajax have won all four Eredivisie games this campaign, scoring 12 goals without reply. On the other hand, Twente have succumbed to three defeats and they have only picked up one solitary point, which came away at Groningen on the opening day. To top all of this, FC Twente lost their only home game so far 1-4 against Den Haag, and ejected head coach Alfred Schreuder from the under pressure hot seat, so things are looking bleak for the Tukkers.
Given the evidence of how these sides have started this season, I really fancy Ajax to keep up their winning form in this one. Ajax are 4-5 (Betfair) to beat FC Twente, which is great for people betting with large stakes, but there is certainly value in the ‘result/total goals’ market. Twente have scored in 75% of their matches this season and history suggests they usually score in this fixture, but I think Ajax’s attacking power will be too much for them. Therefore, I think Ajax to win & over 2.5 goals is a good bet at 8/5 (Bet365).
Fancy a scorer? It is not an ambitious selection but Anwar El Ghazi has started the season tremendously by scoring six goals in four games and I don’t think the Eredivisie’s top goalscorer can be overlooked in a game which typically produces goals.
BEST BET: Ajax to win with over 2.5 goals (8/5 at Bet365)
SAFE BET: Ajax to win (4/5 at Betfair)
OTHER TIPS: Anwar El Ghazi to score anytime (5/4 at Bet365)
Click the name above to follow Simon on Twitter.
totaldutchfootball.com 